XenoPort Catalyst DD – December 31st

Catalyst: XenoPort conducted an End-of-Phase 2 meeting with the FDA in which it received feedback that a proposed development program for XP21279, a novel prodrug of levodopa, could support a potential New Drug Application (NDA) submission under Section 505(b)(2) of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act. Based on its discussions with the FDA, XenoPort believes that a single, pivotal, Phase 3 clinical trial comparing optimized doses of XP21279 to Sinemet, along with an open-label safety study, could form the basis for an NDA submission as a potential treatment of the symptoms of advanced idiopathic Parkinson's disease. XenoPort plans to initiate certain activities in preparation for potential Phase 3 development of XP21279.

Balance Sheet
Total Cash (mrq):112.86M
Total Cash Per Share (mrq):2.63
Total Debt (mrq):0.00
Total Debt/Equity (mrq):N/A
Current Ratio (mrq):8.93
Book Value Per Share (mrq):2.18
Shares Short (as of Nov 15, 2012)3:1.85M
Short Ratio (as of Nov 15, 2012)3:4.60
Short % of Float (as of Nov 15, 2012)3:8.70%
Shares Short (prior month)3:1.70M

 

The chart is showing the very beginning of the " run - up" trade before the late December catalyst mentioned above. We can see the original trend line resuming after the mid term down swing. Skipping a full Phase III and going right to an FDA NDA filing would be huge for XNPT here. Saves a lot of money and means drug can potentially hit the market a lot faster. XNPT has plenty of money on hand, and with a market cap of $341.97M, it seems to me that it's undervalued by about $150M

Price target opinion by December 31st 2012 = $9

 

 

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